New paper (Chen): Temporal Connectivity of Social Contact Networks in India
New paper led by Dehao Chen in Epidemiology: Temporal Connectivity of Social Contact Networks in Urban and Rural India. The study used empirical social contact data from rural and urban Tamil Nadu, India, to parameterize dynamic network models, simulate daily contact networks over one year, and compute forward-reachable paths, the proportion of the population reachable from an index person through direct or indirect connections. Reachability at 365 days stayed bounded at home (0.06% rural, 0.03% urban) but expanded elsewhere, reaching 12.55% at work in rural networks versus 26.72% in urban networks, and 40.54% versus 67.99% in locations other than home, school, and work. The models indicated substantial epidemic potential for acute respiratory transmission.
